Ohuruogu: Scatty Cow or Suspected Drugs cheat

[Toks]

[quote="Elliot M"]I make it slightly higher at 1 in 59,318,610, plus or minus a bit.

3 tests in 18 months, where person needs to be available 5 days out of each 7.

and that's not taking into account intra-day movements

[Jon H]

Toks,

The chance of missing one day in a year is 1 in 365. Once you've missed that then the chance of missing the second one is 1 in 364, etc. So my calculation was 365 x 364 x 363 = 48,228,180.

Elliot's version is over 18 months but only 5 days a week, so 365 x 1.5 x 5/7 = 391 days.
So 391 x 390 x 389 = 59,318,610

[Graham O]

Not sure that she is a cheat....

At the time, some quite big names in athletics came out and suppoirted her. I think one was Steve Cram...

Sure they must have checked her out before supporting her...

[John the old'un]

[quote="Graham O"]Not sure that she is a cheat....

At the time, some quite big names in athletics came out and suppoirted her. I think one was Steve Cram...
Sure they must have checked her out before supporting her...

[Dombo]

If she was an American cyclist from Texas with 7 Tour wins I know where this thread would be going.

And he neither failed a test or "forgot" to turn up for one. Or three.

[quote="Jon Hemming"]Toks,

The chance of missing one day in a year is 1 in 365. Once you've missed that then the chance of missing the second one is 1 in 364, etc. So my calculation was 365 x 364 x 363 = 48,228,180.

Elliot's version is over 18 months but only 5 days a week, so 365 x 1.5 x 5/7 = 391 days.
So 391 x 390 x 389 = 59,318,610

[John the old'un]

[quote="Toks"]

[Toks]

Fair enough then John. I've read quite a bit now and although I accept its suspicious I think she was just really careless. I haven't seen or read anything else that shows she has been a calculated cheat. Yes three were three missed tests in 17 months (one of them she actually asked the tester to wait there)- she's on her way) But what else is there to prove guilt? Cool its been a good discussion
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/others ... cheat.html

[Dombo]

[quote="marco"] - epo still in the system? - "Get me some soap crystals to pee on" )

[quote="Sean Hogan - 何祥"][quote="John the old'un"]
Cheats will always get support from some quarters.

[Tony]

[quote="mrP(Boonen)VT"]Anyone read Linford Christie's book about how he would be able to build up the concentration of drugs, missing tests until the effects had gone down.